How Good a President is Barack Obama? Numbers Don’t Lie
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A critique of our commander in chief.
As president of the United States, Barack Obama is subject to perhaps as much scrutiny as anyone in the world. And everyone seems to have an opinion. What amazes me is how uninformed the average opinion is. Most who favor him issue vague statements about change, while most who oppose him spew out equally vague mutterings of overspending. Most throw in something they heard from Anderson Cooper or Larry King. But no one seems to take the time to dig and figure out what they’re talking about!
So the question seems to be, how, this early into his administration, do we quantify his performance as commander in chief? It isn’t something that can be decided objectively using partisan standards… by now we know that to democrats, the stimulus package is our salvation, and to republicans, the apocalypse. To judge his performance, we need to start with promises. A significant number of promises were made during his campaign. Promises that in many instances, consisted of great change.
So that is where we will begin. Listed here are the majority of his campaign promises, broken into four categories. Each will receive a grade, similar to the scale used in most schools. A meaning he has kept his promise completely, an F meaning he broke the promise. An overall grade will be given to each category, and the four categories will be averaged into one final grade. Issues not yet addressed one way or another will not be factored in… in all fairness, the administration is only a half year old.
Economy
1. Increase the capital gains and dividends taxes for higher income taxpayers…. B
2. Eliminate capital gains taxes for small businesses and start ups…. B
3. Create a foreclosure prevention fund for homeowners… A
4. Create a $60 billion bank to fund roads and bridges…C
5. Expand loan programs for small business… A
6. Create new financial regulations… C
7. Create a $3,000 tax credit for companies that add jobs…D
8. Extend unemployment insurance benefits and temporarily suspend taxes on benefits… A
9. Allow penalty free hardship withdrawals from retirement accounts in ‘08 and ‘09… F
21 major promises made, 9 addressed (43%)
Average grade…C+
Military
1. Begin moving combat brigades from Iraq… B
2. Send two additional brigades to Afghanistan… A
3. Increase the size of the Army and Marine Corps… B
4. End the “Stop-Loss” program of forcing troops to stay in service beyond expected commitments… B
5. Review weapons programs… C
6. Set standards for when government hires defense contractors… C
7. End the abuse of supplemental war budgets… C
8. Call for a repeal of “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”… D
37 major promises made, 8 addressed (18%)
Average grade… C+
Taxes
1. Increase the capital gains and dividends taxes for higher income taxpayers… B
2. Eliminate all oil and gas tax loopholes… C
3. Eliminate capital gains taxes for small business and start ups… C
4. Extend child tax credits and marriage penalty fixes… B
5. Expand the earned income tax credit… B
6. Require automatic Enrollment in 401(k) plans… B
7. Require automatic Enrollment in IRA plans… B
8. End income tax for seniors making less than $50,000… F
9. Create a tax credit of $500 for workers… B
10. Extend the Bush tax cuts for the lower incomes… C
11. Repeal the Bush tax cuts for higher incomes… C
12. Phase out the exemptions and deductions for higher earners… C
13. Extend and index 2007 minimum tax patch… B
14. Create the American Opportunity tax credit to offset college costs… B
15. Enact windfall profits tax for oil companies… D
16. Enact tax credit for consumers with plug in hybrid cars… A
17. Create a $3,000 tax credit for companies that add jobs… F
18. Extend unemployment insurance benefits and temporarily suspend taxes on benefits… A
19. No Family making less than $25,000 will see any form of tax increase… B
39 major promises made, 19 addressed (49%)
Average grade…B-
Energy
1. Eliminate all oil and gas tax loopholes… C
2. Create 5 million green jobs… B
3. Enact windfall profits tax for oil companies… D
4. Raise fuel economy standards… B
5. Weatherize 1 million homes per year… A
6. Work with U.N. on climate control… B
7. Create cap and trade system with interim goals to reduce global warming… B
8. Invest in all types of alternative energy… A
9. Enact tax credit for consumers with plug in hybrid cars… A
10. Require more energy efficient appliances… B
11. Reduce energy consumption in federal buildings… B
12. Require federal fleet to be half hybrids or electric cars… B
13. Modernize the nation’s electricity grid and use “smart grid” practices… B
14. Provide grants to encourage energy efficient building codes… B
Major promises made 48, 14 addressed (29%)
Average grade… B
Overall grade…. B-
These grades are, of course, subjective. As I said, this shallow into the administration, partisan politics can’t yet be used as a barometer for judging; opinions aside, no one actually knows how the stimulus plan, or his other moves, for that matter, will play out. The issues in North Korea and Iran are far too young to even guess outcomes, although his hands on methods appear to be garnering positive results, at least tenatively. And as far as the inevitable arguments I will receive from Obama supporters, Senate or House killing of his proposals are not an excuse… promises were made, not conditional promises.
In the end, Obama appears, at this point, to receive passing marks, especially considering the brief time he has been in office. The majority of the things he said he would do, he has either done or begun. Time will tell, but it would appear that he is off on the right foot. He has two very important factors in his favor at this point. First, he inherited a disaster of an administration, and it will be hard to go anywhere but up. Second, he is at this point insanely popular. Barring a catastrophic meltdown of some form, he will in all likelihood have two terms to accomplish his goals.
I have no doubt I will be dissected, but I feel his term has been successful to date. I think the future holds promise, and am excited to see what direction he leads us.











26 Comments
I agree on most points, but not all. I do like the methodology, however. Innovative article.
Quite interesting synopsis
Looks like he is making a good score, Yah for Obama.
you are insane. The man is a walking disaster.
That’s a pretty good way to look at it. Perhaps all pollies should have a running score sheet to show their true performance. Everyone else seems to have KPIs, so what not them. Takes the emotion out of it too I guess.
I guess what it doesn’t capture however is things that they have done that were not even mentioned in their campaign – those things they pull out of their rear end to appease certain financial backers and such. You would need a way to capture that too.
The guys a bum. Good write, but a guy who likes a bum is a bum.
You must have put an insane ammount of research into this. good article, and for the record I agree with you.
Its still early. In time, he’ll be proven. Hell, -look at Jimmy Carter. A boring president whom became far more effective and loved after his presidency than during.
Every time I read political opin, I recall that famous quote about ‘…democracy being the worst form of government every conceived, but it works better than anything tried anywhere on the planet up to this point.’ ;-D
Good article my friend!
-thestickman
always looking to quantify our presidents, aren’t we? look at it this way.. as long as he doesn’t blow the joint up, we’re better off.
you are right to say that everyone has an opinion. Each president had his faults, promises unable to keep etc,what is amazing is everyone picks on the “man” in the oval office and no one thinks to consider the men in “Congress” who have been retiring there.
Maybe the rules should change, Congress replaced after 2-4 yrs and the President after 6yr. instead of the other way around. How many congressmen have served over their terms? I’d be curious to know which states as well. Just one more thing to think about.
And why are they always “Lawyers”?
Those who negatively criticized Obama in this article provided no back up or argument as to why they thought so. Even in the face of evidence, they could not even bring up evidence themselves .. terrible.
Is there a way you could do the same for Bush? Would it be comparable to this?
Informative, thoughtful- I should be this methodical in my opinions.
If I was to use the same format that you’ve used Mnofdichotomy..and you’d asked me 12 months ago..Kevin Rudd would score mostly Fs..but it’s not as simple as that. Kevin Rudd has mostly reacted to circumstances rather than get on with the list of things he said he would do. There was supposed to have been an “education revolution” – whereby, the introduction of computers into schools – was supposed to have been a top priority..the State Governments were b*#ch-slapping one another and refusing to subsidise same…and there had been a myriad of other promises his government refused to cooperate on. The man was notorious for coming up with ideas..but couldn’t follow through. Lucky for him..the global financial crisis actually saved his a#se because it was one thing he had to deal with to keep the voters happy. However, as of late, he has initiated and approved funding for a $10 billion economic security package to help boost the economy – which has helped a lot of working families, carers and pensioners..he’s invested $20 billion in roads, rail and ports..tax cuts were given to low and middle-income earners..there are trade training centres in secondary schools..all Australian troops have been withdrawn from Iraq..and last but not least..he has increased the home owners grant to $14000 and $21000 for new homes. So far..so good. Liked this article Mnofdichotomy.
Love it. You’re totally right, the majority of people aren’t nearly informed enough on politics to make any comments either way.
As a non-US citizen I enjoyed your approach to analysing Obama’s progress so far. Much better than the endless childish name-calling “he’s a bum and a guy who likes a bum is a bum” type of comments! Let’s raise the standard of political debate!
Mnofdichotomy:
You are my new idol. I have read a couple of your Blogs, and I think that you put a great deal of logic and care into your work. I have two Masters degrees, one in Writing and one in English Education, and I am impressed with your ability to express yourself.
While I do think that Obama is overspending us into oblivion, I really appreciate this objective report card. It will be interesting to see how his grades measure at the end of his term.
P/S- I also commented on your first MJ article. I added a link for you there that you might fancy.
Very nicely put; I couldn’t have told any better (seriously, it’s genius a work here (;)
I found myself nodding my head and agreeing with you whole heartedly while reading.
Very well written my friend, but you missed the boastful arrogance that now has 10% of our country with no jobs, and rising…
Public anxiety over the economic state and the fact that he is the first black president have placed Obama under unprecedented scrutiny. Given the conditions he inherited – two wars, a financial meltdown, and a White House that had been run for 8 years by one of the most inept administrations in American history – it would hardly be fair to have expected much more from Obama, or any president under the same circumstances, at this early a stage.
(As a statistician) loved your attempt to measure progress
(As a pedant) Economy 2 and Taxes 3 are the same thing but a different grade (oops)
(As a realist) Shows I read it!!
Great synopsis. But he has only been in office for 180 +/- days, so yeah…
Can he really be any worse then some of the others we have had?
Time will tell, he came in office at a sticky time…
Let me see, he ran on ending Gitmo, yet his actions are the same as GWB.
He ran on bringing change and transparency to the government, yet his actions are the same as all his predecessors.
He ran on ending the discrimination against gays, yet his own administration defended DOMA and has done nothing to remove the DODT policy.
He ran on stopping FISA and illegal searches, yet his administration has put defended the use.
He ran on giving a tax break to 95% of all people, yet this energy bill is nothing but a tax that will hit 100% of us.
Yep, a solid B- there.
Very comprehensive.
He’ll do alright,time will tell.
He has increased the US National Debt by $3T. Numbers don’t lie. He is running the country into the ground to prepare for the North American Union. Once the US$ completely collapses, he can sell the Amero to the American people as the only way out and they will have to accept it.
Like his buddy Rham Emanuel says, don’t let a crisis go to waste. He is creating the crisis by tanking the country.
FRAUD!