Sri Lanka and the Tigers

The declaration of ceasefire by the rebel Tamil Tigers and the announcement of the death of its legendary leader, Vellupillai Prabhakaran, make an overwhelming military victory for the government of Sri Lanka after more than 26 years of fighting.

While the insurgency can not continue as before and the entire command was wiped out, according to unconfirmed reports of government-civil conflict between the ruling Sinhalese majority and Tamil ethnic group in Sri Lanka has been long before the armed struggle and are very difficult extinguished altogether.
The confrontation is a legacy of British colonial period when London decided to move thousands of Tamils from India to work tea cultivation in ancient Ceylon.

After the independence of the region in 40 years, the Tamil minority complained of discrimination and began to call for autonomy and a federal solution in Sri Lanka who, not being granted, in 1984 triggered an armed movement that came to take over third of the country with its own air force, naval and land.
Hope.  International analysts believe that a possible solution to the country could be in the reorganization of the Tamils in a political movement to claim their rights under a new leadership to propose policy solutions with the support of India, especially, which has a considerable population tamil.

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“That would be a wise way, but things are not necessarily so,” says Halliday. “The problem is that the Sinhalese majority, which comprises 80% of the population does not accept the Tamils.”

Another major obstacle would be the government of President Mahinda Rajapakse, a ruler with a reputation for “hard” which has all the economic, political and military of China, and that would not have reason to squander a great military victory over international pressure it receives.

From the tamil, a moderate leader to emerge to start a negotiation process could be the target of criticism by the diaspora, which tends to be more radical than those living at home.

“In most cases, the diaspora is very irresponsible and supports the most radical, as with the case with Ireland and the Jews and the Cubans,” said Halliday.

“Still, if the government and the Sinhalese majority will not accept a serious and give political and social rights to Tamils, one day or another will return, if not an armed peasant uprising, at least with suicide attacks, attacks and murder, “he warned.