Home Celebrity News Feinberg Forecast: Oscars Standings as November Ends and ‘West Side Story’ Arrives

Feinberg Forecast: Oscars Standings as November Ends and ‘West Side Story’ Arrives

by Anthony McKenzie
feinberg-forecast:-oscars-standings-as-november-ends-and-‘west-side-story’-arrives

PLEASE NOTE: This projection, set up by The Hollywood Reporter‘s honors writer Scott Feinberg, shows his ideal effort to forecast the actions of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, not his individual choices. He gets to these on call bring into play examinations with citizens and honors planners, evaluation of advertising and honors projects, outcomes of honors events that come before the Oscars and the background of the Oscars event itself. There will certainly be normal updates to mirror brand-new advancements.

BEST PICTURE *

F rontrunners

West Side Story
(Disney, Dec. 10, trailer)

King Richard
(Warner Bros., Nov. 19, trailer)

Belfast
(Focus, Nov. 12, trailer)

The Power of the Dog(Netflix, Nov. 17, trailer)

Dune
(Warner Bros., Oct. 22, trailer)

Tick, Tick … Boom!
(Netflix, Nov. 19, trailer)

C’mon C’mon
(A24, Nov. 19, trailer)

House of Gucci(MGM/UA, Nov. 24, trailer)

A Hero(Amazon, Nov. 12, trailer)

Being the Ricardos
(Amazon, Dec. 10, trailer)

Possibilities

Don’t Look Up
(Netflix, Dec. 10, trailer)

Summer of Soul
(Searchlight, July 2, trailer)

The Lost Daughter
(Netflix, Dec. 31, trailer)

The Hand of God
(Netflix, Dec. 3, trailer)

Parallel Mothers
(Sony Classics, Dec. 24, trailer)

CODA
(Apple, Aug. 13, trailer)

Longer Shots

The Harder They Fall
( Netflix, Nov. 3, trailer)

Flee(Neon/Participant, Dec. 3, trailer)

Cyrano
(MGM/UA, Dec. 31, trailer)

Titane(Neon, Oct. 1, trailer)

The Tragedy of Macbeth
(A24/ Apple, Dec. 25, trailer)

Red Rocket(A24, Dec. 3, trailer)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Licorice Pizza
(MGM/UA, Nov. 26, trailer)

Nightmare Alley(Searchlight, Dec. 17, trailer)

BEST DIRECTOR *

F rontrunners

Steven Spielberg ( West Side Story)– podcast

Kenneth Branagh ( Belfast)

Jane Campion ( The Power of the Dog)

Denis Villeneuve ( Dune)

Asghar Farhadi ( A Hero)– podcast

Possibilities

Reinaldo Marcus Green ( King Richard)

Paolo Sorrentino ( The Hand of God)

Lin-Manuel Miranda ( Tick, Tick … Boom!)– podcast

Mike Mills ( C’mon C’mon)

Adam McKay ( Don’t Look Up)– podcast

Maggie Gyllenhaal ( The Lost Daughter)

Longer Shots

Aaron Sorkin ( Being the Ricardos)– podcast

Pedro Almodóvar ( Parallel Mothers)– podcast

Ridley Scott ( House of Gucci)– podcast

Julia Ducournau ( Titane)

Jeymes Samuel ( The Harder They Fall)

Joe Wright ( Cyrano)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Paul Thomas Anderson ( Licorice Pizza)

Guillermo del Toro ( Nightmare Alley)– podcast

BEST ACTOR *

F rontrunners

Will Smith ( King Richard)– podcast

Benedict Cumberbatch ( The Power of the Dog)– podcast

Andrew Garfield ( Tick, Tick … Boom!)– podcast

Joaquin Phoenix ( C’mon C’mon)

Jude Hill ( Belfast)

Possibilities

Ansel Elgort ( West Side Story)

Javier Bardem ( Being the Ricardos)

Leonardo DiCaprio ( Don’t Look Up)

Adam Driver ( House of Gucci)– podcast

Simon Rex ( Red Rocket)– podcast

Denzel Washington ( The Tragedy of Macbeth)– podcast

Peter Dinklage ( Cyrano)

Longer Shots

Nicolas Cage ( Pig)– podcast

Oscar Isaac ( The Card Counter)– podcast

Filippo Scotti ( The Hand of God)

Timothée Chalamet ( Dune)– podcast

Jonathan Majors ( The Harder They Fall)

Mahershala Ali ( Swan Song)– podcast

Matt Damon ( Stillwater)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Clifton Collins Jr. ( Jockey)

Bradley Cooper ( Nightmare Alley)

Frankie Faison ( The Killing of Kenneth Chamberlain)

Cooper Hoffman ( Licorice Pizza)

Tim Blake Nelson ( Old Henry)

Dan Stevens ( I’m Your Man)

BEST ACTRESS *

F rontrunners

Rachel Zegler ( West Side Story)

Kristen Stewart ( Spencer)– podcast

Penélope Cruz ( Parallel Mothers)

Lady Gaga ( House of Gucci)– podcast

Olivia Colman ( The Lost Daughter)– podcast

Possibilities

Nicole Kidman ( Being the Ricardos)– podcast

Jessica Chastain ( The Eyes of Tammy Faye)– podcast

Emilia Jones ( CODA)

Jennifer Hudson ( Respect)

Frances McDormand ( The Tragedy of Macbeth)

Jennifer Lawrence ( Don’t Look Up)– podcast

Longer Shots

Tessa Thompson ( Passing)

Jodie Comer ( The Last Duel)

Halle Berry ( Bruised)

Agathe Rousselle ( Titane)

Renate Reinsve ( The Worst Person on the planet)

Haley Bennett ( Cyrano)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Alana Haim ( Licorice Pizza)

Rooney Mara ( Nightmare Alley)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR *

F rontrunners

Jamie Dornan ( Belfast)

Kodi Smit-McPhee ( The Power of the Dog)

Mike Faist ( West Side Story)

Jared Leto ( House of Gucci)– podcast

Woody Norman ( C’mon C’mon)

Possibilities

Ciaran Hinds ( Belfast)

Jesse Plemons ( The Power of the Dog)

David Alvarez ( West Side Story)

Jon Bernthal ( King Richard)

J.K. Simmons ( Being the Ricardos)

Longer Shots

Jonah Hill ( Don’t Look Up)

Ben Affleck ( The Tender Bar)– podcast

Mark Rylance ( Don’t Look Up)

Andrew Garfield ( The Eyes of Tammy Faye)– podcast

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Bradley Cooper ( Licorice Pizza)

Richard Jenkins ( Nightmare Alley)

David Strathairn ( Nightmare Alley)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS *

F rontrunners

Rita Moreno ( West Side Story)

Aunjanue Ellis ( King Richard)– podcast

Caitriona Balfe ( Belfast)

Kirsten Dunst ( The Power of the Dog)

Ariana DeBose ( West Side Story)

Possibilities

Judi Dench ( Belfast)– podcast

Gaby Hoffmann ( C’mon C’mon)

Saniyya Sidney ( King Richard)

Jessie Buckley ( The Lost Daughter)

Nina Arianda ( Being the Ricardos)

Meryl Streep ( Don’t Look Up)– podcast

Longer Shots

Ruth Negga ( Passing)– podcast

Dakota Johnson ( The Lost Daughter)– podcast

Suzanna Son ( Red Rocket)

Marlee Matlin ( CODA)

Kathryn Hunter ( The Tragedy of Macbeth)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Cate Blanchett ( Nightmare Alley)– podcast

Toni Collette ( Nightmare Alley)

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY *

F rontrunners

The Power of the Dog(Jane Campion)

West Side Story(Tony Kushner)

The Lost Daughter(Maggie Gyllenhaal)

Dune(Eric Roth, Jon Spaihts & Denis Villeneuve)

Tick, Tick … Boom!(Steven Levenson)

Possibilities

Drive My Car(Ryusuke Hamaguchi & Takamasa Oe)

Passing(Rebecca Hall)

House of Gucci(Roberto Bentivegna & Becky Johnston)

The Tragedy of Macbeth(Joel Coen)

CODA
(Sian Heder)

Longer Shots

Cyrano
(Erica Schmidt)

T he Many Saints of Newark(David Chase & Lawrence Konner)– podcast (Chase)

The Tender Bar(William Monahan)

In the Heights(Quiara Alegría Hudes)

Compartment No. 6
(Juho Kuosmanen)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Nightmare Alley(Guillermo del Toro & Kim Morgan)– podcast (del Toro)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY *

F rontrunners

Belfast(Kenneth Branagh)

King Richard(Zach Baylin)

C’mon Cmon
(Mike Mills)

A Hero
(Asghar Farhadi)– podcast

The Hand of God(Paolo Sorrentino)

Possibilities

Being the Ricardos(Aaron Sorkin)– podcast

Don’t Look Up(Adam McKay & David Sirota)– podcast (McKay)

Parallel Mothers(Pedro Almodóvar)– podcast

The Card Counter ( Paul Schrader)

Red Rocket
(Sean Baker & Chris Bergoch)– podcast (Baker)

Longer Shots

Spencer(Steven Knight)

The Harder They Fall(Jeymes Samuel & Boaz Yakin)

Last Night in Soho
(Krysty Wilson-Cairns & Edgar Wright)

The French Dispatch
(Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola & Jason Schwartzman)

Stillwater
(Tom McCarthy)– podcast

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

Licorice Pizza(Paul Thomas Anderson)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE *

Projected Shortlist

Summer of Soul(Searchlight)

Flee
(Neon/Participant)

The Rescue
(Nat Geo)

The Velvet Underground(Apple)– podcast (Todd Haynes)

Procession(Netflix)

The First Wave
(Neon)– podcast (Matthew Heineman)

Ascension
(MTV)

Attica
(Showtime)

Found
(Netflix)

Becoming Cousteau
(Nat Geo)

Julia
(Sony Classics)

My Name Is Pauli Murray
(Amazon)

Francesco
(Discovery+)

Val
(Amazon)

The Sparks Brothers(Focus)

Possibilities

Roadrunner: A Film About Anthony Bourdain(Focus)

Not Going Quietly
(Greenwich)

Introducing, Selma Blair
( Discovery+)

Billie Eilish: The World’s A Little Blurry(Apple)

Tom Petty: Somewhere You Feel Free
(YouTube)

Rita Moreno: Just a Girl Who Decided to Go for It(Roadside)

Still to See or Can not Comment Yet

45 Days: The Fight for a Nation
(self-distributed)

Ailey
(Neon)

All Light, Everywhere
(Super LTD)

A Cop Movie
(Netflix)

Bring Your Own Brigade(CBSN/Paramount)

Citizen Ashe(Magnolia)

Convergence: Courage in a Crisis(Netflix)

Cusp(Showtime)

Fauci(Nat Geo)

Faya Dayi(Janus Films)

Homeroom(Hulu)

In the Same Breath(HBO)

The Last Forest(Gullane)

LFG(HBO Max)

The Lost Leonardo(Sony Classics)

Mayor Pete(Amazon)

Misha and the Wolves(Netflix)

Pray Away(Netflix)

President(Greenwich)

The Real Charlie Chaplin(Showtime)

Rebel Hearts(Discovery+)

Sisters on course(Netflix)

Stray(Magnolia)

Street Gang: How We Got to Sesame Street(HBO)

Torn(Nat Geo)

Who We Are(Sony Classics)

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE *

Frontrunners

A Hero(Iran)– podcast (Asghar Farhadi)

The Hand of God(Italy)

Flee(Denmark)

Compartment No. 6(Finland)

Titane(France)

Possibilities

The Worst Person worldwide(Norway)

Drive My Car(Japan)

Zatopek(Czech Republic)

Still to See

Brighton 4th
(Georgia)

Casablanca Beats
(Morocco)

A Cop Movie(Mexico)

Digger(Greece)

Do Not Hesitate(Netherlands)

Drunken Birds(Canada)

Escape from Mogadishu(South Korea)

The Falls(Taiwan)

The Good Boss(Spain)

Great Freedom(Austria)

Hive(Kosovo)

I’m Your Man(Germany)

Lamb(Iceland)

Leave No Traces(Poland)

Let It Be Morning(Israel)

Memoria(Colombia)

Oasis(Serbia)

Olga(Switzerland)

Post Mortem(Hungary)

Prayers for the Stolen(Mexico)

Sumergible(Ecuador)

Unclenching the Fist(Russia)

White Building(Cambodia)

BEST ORIGINAL SONG *

Projected Shortlist

“No Time to Die”– Billie Eilish & Finneas O’Connell ( No Time to Die)

“Be Alive”– Beyoncé Knowles-Carter & Darius Scott ( King Richard)

“Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)”– Jamie Alexander Hartman, Jennifer Hudson & Carole King ( Respect)

“So May We Start”– Ron Mael & Russell Mael ( Annette)

“Down to Joy”– Van Morrison ( Belfast)

“Guns Go Bang”– Jay-Z, Scott Mescudi [Kid Cudi] & Jeymes Samuel ( The Harder They Fall)

“Just Look Up”– Nicholas Britell, Ariana Grande, Scott Mescudi [Kid Cudi] & Taura Stinson ( Don’t Look Up)

“Fire overhead”– Anderson.Paak ( Shang-Chi and the L egend of the Ten Rings)

“Million to One”– Camila Cabello & Scott Harris ( Cinderella)

“My Father’s Daughter”– Glen Hansard, Cat Power & Eddie Vedder ( Flag Day)

“Every Letter”– Matt Berninger, Carin Besser, Aaron Dessner & Bryce Dessner [“The National”] ( Cyrano)

“We Love Each Other”– Ron Mael & Russell Mael ( Annette)

“Beyond the Shore”– Nicholai Baxter, Matt Dahan, Sian Heder & Marius de Vries ( CODA)

“Home All Summer”– Lin-Manuel Miranda ( In the Heights)– podcast

“Somehow You Do”– Diane Warren ( Four Good Days)– podcast

Possibilities

“Believe”– Aloe Blacc & Daniel Pemberton ( The Rescue)

“The Anonymous Ones”– Benj Pasek, Justin Paul & Amandla Stenberg ( Dear Evan Hansen)

Still to See

” Your Song Saved My Life”– U2 ( Sing 2)

“Never Gon na Tame You”– TK ( The Mustangs: America’s Wild Horses)– podcast

“At the Automat”– Mel Brooks ( The Automat)

“Secret Sister”– Rufus Wainwright ( Rebel Hearts)

“Right Where I Belong”– Brian Wilson & Jim James ( Brian Wilson: Long Promised Road)

“Blome Swete Lilie Flour”– Daniel Hart ( The Green Knight)

“Inside Your Heart”– Lin-Manuel Miranda ( Vivo)– podcast

“Keep the Beat”– Lin-Manuel Miranda ( Vivo)– podcast

“My Own Drum”– Missy Elliott & Lin-Manuel Miranda ( Vivo)– podcast

“Dos Oruguitas”– Lin-Manuel Miranda ( Encanto)– podcast

“Just for Me”– SZA & Saint JHN ( Space Jam: A New Legacy)

“On My Way”– Alexandra Lahey, Sophie Louise Payten & Gabriel Strum ( The Mitchells vs. the Machines)

“We Win”– Kirk Franklin, Dominique “Lil Baby” Jones, Cynthia Nunn & Justin Gregory Smith ( Space Jam: A New Legacy)

“Call Me Cruella”– Florence + The Machine ( Cruella)

“Lead the Way”– Jhene Aiko & James Newton Howard ( Raya and the Last Dragon)

“Hourglass”– Mary J. Blige ( Mary J. Blige’s My Life)– podcast

“Chasing Dreams”– Goze & Tyler Strickland ( Changing the Game)

“Beginning Middle End”– Leah Nobel & Quinn Redmond ( To All the Boys: Always and Forever)

“Only One Way to Fly”– Jeremiah Fraites & Wesley Schultz [The Lumineers] ( The Starling)

“Tu Draumst [To Dream]”– Tara Nome Doyle & Isobel Waller-Bridge ( Munich: The Edge of War)

“Remain”– Saleka Night Shyamalan ( Old)

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